chat prefs...
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12:05 am
trueheart11
gogogo
12:10 am
trueheart11
done. no greens
1:49 am
Polarbear05
no greens...
2:04 am
Ed-was_here
Done no greens
2:04 am
Ed-was_here
Done no greens
2:17 am
eyeman
clickety-click done.
2:17 am
drwho
That's the way it's going here too (mostly).
2:18 am
eyeman
pretty soon we'll have 100 elites
2:19 am
drwho
Difficulty score 14. No green.
2:20 am
eyeman
Nice to see Killian at 200 points today!
2:20 am
drwho
Eyeman, in case you missed it, I am predicting that we will reach 2000 points by April 24th, 2010, give or take a day.
2:21 am
drwho
Oops, that's 3000 points.
2:21 am
eyeman
That's better!
2:21 am
eyeman
How did you arrive at that date?
2:22 am
eyeman
Seems like a good guess, tho.
2:23 am
drwho
Statistical analysis. It took 1004 days to reach 2000. I did a calculation of the variance of the mean for puzzle scores and projected the date and confidence interval.
2:25 am
eyeman
ok. that makes sense, assuming you'll post puzzles that are an average mix of easies, mediums, hards, and experts.
2:25 am
drwho
Right. I assume that what we have seen so far is an indication of what will be seen in the future.
2:27 am
eyeman
Did it take an equal number of days to reach 2000 from 1000 as it did from zero to 1000 ?
2:27 am
drwho
I am not a statistician, but I have worked with one. He told me that predictions based on statistics are often referred to by the acronym SWAG.
2:28 am
drwho
Science of the Wild A** Guess.
2:29 am
eyeman
Very good. I'll remember that. Did you see my previous question?
2:31 am
drwho
No, I didn't see it, and I can't answer it offhand because it would take some lengthy tabulations to find out when we actually reached 1000.
2:33 am
eyeman
Oh, then you saw it since that addressed my question about same number of days from 0 to 1000 as from 1000 to 2000.
2:34 am
eyeman
Of course, using the SWAG formula, the answer is yes !
2:35 am
eyeman
Well, back to bed to get a little more rest. Let's see if the Illinois governor resigns today.
2:36 am
drwho
I just did a quick scan of the archives an I found a comment you made on the 503rd puzzle that there were only 10 more points to go to 1000.
2:36 am
drwho
Yes, so it took longer to get from 0 to 1000 than from 1000 to 2000!
2:37 am
drwho
I may have to rethink the significance of the variation of the mean in this calculation.
2:38 am
eyeman
OK, as long as we don't get a steady diet of easies or experts to slow down or speed up the process.
2:39 am
drwho
The 1000 point is not too far off the middle point in time between 0 and 2000, but further than I expected.
2:40 am
drwho
Such is SWAG.
2:40 am
eyeman
Maybe the reason is by posting more easies in the beginning you attracted more "customers". Good business move!
2:41 am
drwho
Yes, but one of the toughest puzzles was published in the first month too.
2:42 am
eyeman
That also attracted customers because of the challenge. I recall having a headache for several days back then, thanks to you.
2:42 am
drwho
No, not me. I am not the proprietor of this web site!
2:43 am
drwho
That would be Dr_God
2:45 am
eyeman
OK, I misdirected my "complaint". Thanks - I'll credit Dr_God for the headache.
2:46 am
eyeman
Anyway, it's good chatting - I'll head back for a few more zzzzs till dawn. Take care!
2:46 am
drwho
Good night.
3:03 am
MrOoijer
ckick/click easy
4:17 am
Andy
Resume yesterday's
4:26 am
Andy
that's done.
4:27 am
Andy
Go on today's
4:45 am
Andy
Caught up again. Off to other fun things. Good day all!
5:40 am
kaosangel
Morning. Go.
5:47 am
kaosangel
Done. No Greens.
6:17 am
kixx
done, no greens
8:52 am
katmama
done, no greens
8:55 am
Phil
done once I woke up! Crazy nodding off whist doing puzzles!
10:25 am
RodeoRogue
pasue
10:43 am
RodeoRogue
play on
10:43 am
RodeoRogue
done, no greens
2:47 pm
K M
finished ... no greens
3:02 pm
helenkeller
no green
3:33 pm
ypsigirl
done no greens
4:33 pm
Montreal13
done no greens - have a great day all !
4:42 pm
Atalante
why are you in UAE, Luc??!!
5:05 pm
Montreal13
Hi Ata... if you're still there !! - I move around simply for "flag variety"...
5:07 pm
Montreal13
ok then, see you around in Babbleland..."poof"
5:13 pm
brittlefish.com
go
5:21 pm
brittlefish.com
done. no green./